Do you remember thinking this is now over in November 2007 – Seeking Alpha


An extract from the times when last year we thought it was over!

via Bank Stocks: Dividend Yield Post Subprime Meltdown – Seeking Alpha

Aside from homeowners who lost their homes through foreclosure, other victims in this sub-prime mortgage crisis are of course the lenders who provided the loans. This includes the nation’s largest banks, many of which exposed themselves to investments tied to bad loans.

The financial sector was hit very hard and the steep decline of financial shares since the summer also brought down the entire market. In fact, the turmoil in the housing and credit markets put the economy at the risk of slipping into a recession (Bloomberg.com).

After reaching the record high of 14,164 on October 9th, the Dow has given up all the gains after the Fed’s surprise larger-than-expected rate cut in September, losing 8.5% from its peak. At the same time, The Dow Jones US Financials Index (^DJSFN) has dropped 14.6% and nearly 20% so far this year.

djusfn.png

If you own any of the big banks, you probably won’t be very happy with your stock’s performance. Many stocks, like Citigroup (C), lost a quarter of their value in one month. There’s one bright side though, and it’s the current dividend yields of the banks. As the share price drops, the dividend yield increases. The following is a table of the nation’s largest publicly traded banks with their dividend yield, share price and year-to-data return (as of November 19th).

Name Yield (%) Price YTD return (%)
Citigroup (C) 6.8 $32.00 -39.9
Bank of America (BAC) 5.4 $42.82 -17.0
J. P. Morgan Chase (JPM) 3.5 $41.37 -11.8
Wachovia (WB) 6.1 $38.48 -29.0
Wells Fargo (WFC) 3.9 $30.53 -11.1
U.S. Bancorp (USB) 5.1 $31.43 -10.0
Suntrust Banks (STI) 4.1 $67.62 -17.8
Capital One Financial (COF) 0.2 $51.50 -32.9
National City (NCC) 7.9 $20.37 -41.4
Regions Financial (RF) 6.1 $23.77 -34.3
BB&T (BBT) 5.3 $33.12 -21.3
PNC Financial Services (PNC) 3.5 $69.07 -3.5
State Street (STT) 1.1 $76.18 13.9
Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) 6.0 $27.51 -30.5
Keycorp (KEY) 5.8 $25.02 -32.2
Northern Trust (NTRS) 1.3 $75.01 25.1
Comerica 5.8 $42.94 -25.1
Marshall & Ilsley (MI) 3.9 $30.05 -36.3
M&T Bank (MTB) 2.8 $88.28 -26.5
Union Bank of Calif. (UB) 4.0 $49.45 -17.2
Charles Schwab (SCHW) 0.9 $22.93 25.7
Zions Bancorporation (ZION) 3.4 $50.22 -37.6
Commerce Bancorp (CBH) 1.5 $35.17 1.1
Popular (BPOP) 6.8 $9.40 -46.1

One year ago when I purchased my first share of Bank of America through DRIP, the dividend yield was at 4.10%. Now it jumped to 5.40%. And the yield of Citigroup is even higher at 6.80%. Of course, there isn’t much to smile about when the share price dropped nearly 40% since the beginning of the year.

But for investors who reinvest the dividend distribution instead of taking it as cash and want to hold the stock for a long time, the drop in price means now the distribution can buy more shares of the stock cheaply (Citi has a 1-year forward P/E of 7.5), provided that the company can maintain its current dividend level. And those shares added without commission will make a bigger contribution in terms of return later if the stock rebounds.

At least that’s a little something to gain from this mess.

Disclosure: Long BAC

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About zyakaira

Investment Banker, 40s, Bangalore This Biopic and this web recreates how one point of view, one person can impact a tremendous economic engine that the world thrives and mis-thrives on. This one has the knowledge and the civil sense , the art of conversation and some good writing to mentor others as powerful and help global managers develop and fine tune their approach on US markets, China, India and the world. Read on here, and let me know what you need. It can be a race for TRPs, a race for new markets and a race to do what is right. I have the pulse of the crisis, the recovery and the market direction and can help you build and refine your strategy as i have helped thousands of managers and multiple global corporations. Of course, it’s more fun if you talk to me. I am in favor of leading this moving of the economic crisis and will partner with you in a soft and subtle way, just the way we both ride to the top. But you can write with us, opine and just reply with aplomb and shine on Twitter , 4 square , Facebook and any other social “choupal” of choice via zyaadakairaada Profile & Portfolio - SocialPicks Different flavours at: http://benchilibowl.wordpress.com http://zyaada.mp

Posted on November 3, 2008, in Bank Stocks, Global, US and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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